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Westminster News from Paul Waugh

The Waugh Room

News, gossip and insight from PoliticsHome Editor Paul Waugh

Who won the AV Digital War?

When the history of the AV referendum campaign comes to be written, much ink will be spilled about the different messages and strategies of the Yes and No teams.

But for those interested in the digital war, it's been a fascinating, real-time example of just how to use - and not use - the internet.

I've talked to both campaign teams and it's worth giving a small snapshot of what's been happening online. In a nutshell, Yes for Fairer Votes seemed more of a field-based collective, No2AV were more of a traditional political party.

The Yes team, headed by Greg Poynton of Blue State Digital (for the uninitiated, they're the people who famously helped propel Obama into the White House), decided to fight a predominantly 'boots on the ground' campaign.

Partly reflecting their youthful base, they decided not to use the internet  to 'broadcast' but more to mobilise, organise and monitor their activists and supporters.

Their website was designed not to yell messages to punters who happened to come across it, but rather to "scale up" local groups of volunteers very quickly and very cheaply.

What helped hugely was the database that they began with - a massive 150,000 email addresses inherited from groups such as Unlock Democracy and Power2010, I'm told. They then added tens of thousands more during the campaign. The fundamental job of the campaign was not to develop fancy apps for iPhones, but to turn those email addresses into people who would man street stalls, phone banks and, crucially, send in donations.

Many of the activists, Yes says, have come not from political parties but from people who have never been involved in campaigning like this before. More than 3,000 events were created, including conference calls with campaign leader Katie Ghose.

In fact the Yes camp managed to raise a huge quarter of a million pounds online, with the average donation coming to £28. Its online fundraising has provided its third largest source of income (after its big donations from Rowntree Reform Trust and the Electoral Reform Society).

As part of this 'ground war' strategy, direct mail was also key. In fact, their personalised letters that coincided with the postal votes deliveries were so professional (and expensive, no doubt) that they sparked minor panic in the No camp when spotted.

So far, so Obama.

But while Yes focused on the ground war, the No2AV campaign was relentless in its 'air war'. And today was the equivalent on 'shock and awe', with the biggest one-day online advertising blitz in UK political history. Tens of millions of Get Out The Vote ads were placed on Facebook, Google and YouTube to hit as many eyeballs as possible. (I've asked just how much cash was spent today alone, but we'll find that out in a few weeks' or months' time.)

MessageSpace's Jag Singh, an early appointment as Director of Digital Comms for No2AV, was 'embedded' in the highest level of the campaign, attending all of their 8am morning meetings for example.

Unlike their rivals, No2AV didn't start with an email database and built one from scratch. It's thought to have been around the 40k mark. (As a rough comparison, Labour is estimated to have around 35,000 email addresses compared to half a million in the CCHQ email database).

With fewer email addresses, No2AV focused instead on mobile phones, 'text blasting' its supporters to mobilise them for meetings. Phone banks were seen as a waste of manpower.

A big strategic decision was also taken not to waste too much time on Twitter. Instead, the big traffic sites were targeted with paid ads and sponsored links. It seems to have worked. The No2AV YouTube site garnered twice as many views (250k to 125k roughly) as its Yes rival. Similarly, street stalls (seen as a typically Lib Dem type activity) were not high on the campaign's list of priorities.

Of course the ground war/air war split can be overdone as both campaigns had elements of both. No2AV spent 40% of its online budget on ads and around 60% on mobilising activists, providing research and fundraising.

From its hardline attack ads to its press operation and its mass bombardment approach, the No2AV campaign most felt like a mainstream political party. With its activism and social engagement, not surprisingly perhaps, the Yes campaign most looked like an NGO.

Whatever the result and despite the vitriol, both sides have a lot of respect for the different ways they engaged with the voters and their supporters. All three main political parties will be itching to get a full debrief at some point from both Yes and No.

Ultimately, as in any election, the campaigns may have been secondary to the core political messages on offer. You can have all the fancy social engagement and advert blitzes in the world, but it won't mean a thing if the punters don't like your policies.

Yet in a way, despite the expected low turnout, both Yes and No camps generated significant followings. Whatever view you take of the merits of AV, it would be a real shame if all this activism just came to a sudden halt.

It may not be possible, but I bet Labour, the Conservatives and Lib Dems would love to harness that energy, not to say cash, for the next general election. When the fog of war lifts, maybe they will.

 

 

 

 

 

Leave a comment...

Adam

I never got anything through the post from Yes, only from No...so something went wrong there.

Sean

Same here.  I didn't get any post from the Yes campaign, no-one spoke to me.  No emails.  No were far more prevalent.

Pshaw2AVcampaigns

You are being far too generous to both sides. I think the Cabinet/MP bickering helped get a lot of press. I got 1 thing posted to me by "Yes" and 1 thing posted to me by "No" and I am the type that is most likely to vote, so they should have been zeroing in on that. In the end, both sides spent a lot of money, pretending to do something to get what result? A sub 20% turnout!? Might have well done squat.

Janes

The Yes campaign did spend perhaps too much time on exhorting its own supporters to do its communications, rather than doing it directly. Yet they didn't equip their supporters in the field well enough. And their coordination was often lacking. They appear to have relied on Google Docs rather than a proper contact relationship management system.

thingscanonlygetbetter

As a former Yes campaign staff member, I think you've hit it on the head there. In fact, the reference to Google Docs makes me think you're one of us...

costermonger

The No campaign had a ruthless campaigner in Matthew Elliot. Where was the Yes equivalent? The No's produced lie after lie - where was the Yes rebuttal? The No's produced well known political figures, the Yes's relied on celebrities (of whom I only saw Izzard actively campaigning). I got three No leaflets, I got no Yes leaflets. The Yes campaign was an amateurish shambles. I still voted Yes knowing the cause was already lost.

William Campbell
  • 01:29 |
  • 07 May 2011
  • 0

No it wouldn't be a shame. They should all go and get lives, and think about things that really matter.

david seddon

a very interesting analysis - with much food for thought for campaigners, not just in the major parties but all of us involved in campaigns

Jonathan Phillips

The Yes campaign was awful (though at least it wasn't all lies). Why on earth didn't it start by bombarding everyone with The Fatal Flaws of "first past the post"? - unanswerable points! And no proper attempt to explain AV from the voter's viewpoint: why would I want to mark alternative choices? what effect would it have? how are the votes counted? Eventually there was loads of stuff about in cyberspace covering these points, but none of it emanated from the Yes campaign itself. It was really badly prepared, by people who knew nothing about political and commercial campaigning and made no attempt to pre-empt the No lot's attacks (admittedly some of them were so ridiculous that no-one could have foreseen them). And no attempt to challenge Cameron himself over the No lot's lies, or even to make the lies themselves a real news item. Eventually I'll stop ranting.

Graeme
  • 21:51 |
  • 07 May 2011
  • 0

None of the Yes and No campaigns directly reached me. And I was not really interested in the ads, or the celebs - that was a real turn-off! But I did look for online comments (usually believers of either side) and I tried to gain an understanding of how the system might work. It was a strange experience because I am a Labour voter, but found myself voting against the leadership.

RichardO

I too was disappointed with the 'Yes' campaign. I joined in locally with various stalls and delivered 4000 leaflets. I found the leaflets content was poor. It didn't explain how AV voting would work: a fundamental requirement. Also our local coordination was poor. Trouble was the young people involved had little experience. Eventually the Lib Dem agent assumed some responsibility BUT he was also running 4 other election campaigns.I believed the prime requirement was to get leaflets delivered to all households. In the end we probably only delivered to about 25%. Why wasn't the freepost service used? We appear to have been out maneuvered by the Conservatives all through the campaign. Sorry to be so negative. We must do it better next time!

James
  • 10:05 |
  • 09 May 2011
  • 0

Costermonger: "The No campaign had a ruthless campaigner in Matthew Elliot. Where was the Yes equivalent? The No's produced lie after lie - where was the Yes rebuttal? " I agree but feel it is terrible for democracy if the NO campaign can get away with trying to deceive the electorate with such lies. Surely this is an electoral crime? Passionate argument and opinion is one thing but blatant lies just intended to confuse and deceive is another. I believe the Police should be asked to investigate and bring criminal charges if they believe there is enough evidence to prosecute!

RDJW
  • 18:48 |
  • 09 May 2011
  • 0

There's no law under which the No Campaign could be prosecuted. Statutes governing the integrity of political campaigning don't apply to referendums. What they did was perfectly legal so exposing any dishonesty was the job of their opponents, who failed miserably. 


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