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These seats are very much the “low hanging fruit” for the Conservatives. While there are some seats on this list that enjoyed substantial majorities in 2005, many are ultra marginals. In Kent alone there were 5 seats with majorities under 1,000. Were Gordon Brown to retain an overall majority at the next election he would need to be retaining seats like these. In the present political situation they will fall easily to David Cameron’s Conservatives on one of the larger swings to the Conservatives.
Seat-by-seat prediction
12.1% swing to the Conservatives
SKIP TO:
Introduction --- Prediction Summary --- The new political landscape --- Tactical Voting and the Personal Vote --- The Deciding Factors --- The Key Issues --- Sleaze --- Campaigning --- Changing Opinions --- Methodology --- View 2008 report
REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS:
Inner London --- Outer London --- London's Commuter Belt --- Seaside Towns --- Labour's Southern Bastions --- Urban West Midlands --- West Midlands hinterland --- East Midlands --- West Yorkshire --- North West --- North East England --- Cumbria --- Conservatives vs Lib Dems: South West --- Conservatives vs Lib Dems: Elsewhere --- Labour vs Lib Dems --- Welsh Marginals --- Scottish Marginals
