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RSS Electoral Index

PoliticsHome Electoral Index

The UK's largest ever political poll

REGIONAL BREAKDOWN

Conservatives v Liberal Democrats elsewhere

While the battleground between the Conservatives and Lib Dems in the South West tends to be rural, elsewhere in the country it is more often well-heeled middle class suburbia, places like South West London, or the affluent suburbs of Greater Manchester and Sheffield.

While the Conservatives are making modest advances against the Liberal Democrats in the South West, here the Lib Dems are holding their own, with the swing to the Conservatives only enough for them to reclaim Solihull (already notionally Conservative on the new boundaries). As in the South West though, local factors are important, and individual seats maywell buck the trend.

Seat-by-seat prediction

Swing to the Conservatives from the Liberal Democats of 0.7%; swing from Labour to the Conservatives of 1.1%

SKIP TO:

Introduction  ---  Prediction Summary  ---  The new political landscape  ---  Tactical Voting and the Personal Vote  ---  The Deciding Factors  ---  The Key Issues  ---  Sleaze  ---  Campaigning  ---  Changing Opinions  ---  Methodology  ---  View 2008 report

REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS:

  Inner London  ---  Outer London  ---  London's Commuter Belt  ---  Seaside Towns  ---  Labour's Southern Bastions  ---  Urban West Midlands  --- West Midlands hinterland --- East Midlands ---  West Yorkshire  ---  North West  ---  North East England  ---  Cumbria  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: South West  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: Elsewhere  ---  Labour vs Lib Dems  ---  Welsh Marginals  ---  Scottish Marginals