Phi Wire Hand Picked Politics - Live

  • Matthew Glanville | Iraq, IS – and a failure of British intelligence

    • source icon
    • 06:30
  • Oliver Wright | Long-term bail allows lazy police and prosecutors to leave cases togather dust

    • source icon
    • 19:26
  • Dreda Say Mitchell | In politics, background really does matter

    • source icon
    • 18:29
  • channel4news | Ukraine bans 14 Russian television channels, including Russia Today, for alleged...

    • source icon
    • 18:24
  • Daniel Hannan | Who's your dream team to run the pro-EU campaign? Mine would be Peter Mandelson,...

    • source icon
    • 18:00
  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

The Political Pulse

Latest opinion research and analysis

Tories sour to Osborne

Anyone wanting asking whether the Conservative poll slide in recent weeks is fundamentally linked to the Budget need look no further than the Chancellor’s approval ratings. Among all voters, his approval rating with YouGov has fallen 18 points since the day before the budget from -22 to -40 this weekend.

However, Labour voters had such a low opinion of him already that it was scarcely possible for this to fall any further. Among those who voted Labour in 2010, he received a -71 rating prior to the Budget and -74 now, a fall of a mere 3 points.

Where Osborne’s collapse is concentrated, however, is among those who voted Conservative in the 2010 general election. Prior to the budget, these voters gave him a +33 rating, very similar to the +37 he enjoyed in November. Now this approval rating stands at just +3, a 30 point fall, with just 40% of those who voted Conservative in the 2010 election thinking Mr Osborne was doing ‘a good job’.

If this trend continues, it will prove a major headache for Conservative HQ and raise questions of the electoral credibility of a Chancellor who also serves as their chief strategist.