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Saturday 12th January 2013 | 20:00
Sunday People/Comres press release
New ComRes European Voting Intention poll for The People: (actual 2009 results in brackets)
Labour - 35% (15.7%)
UK Independence Party (UKIP) - 23% (16.5%)
Conservative - 22% (27.7%)
Liberal Democrat - 8% (13.7%)
Green - 5% (8.1%)
Scottish National Party (SNP) - 4% (2.1%)
British National Party (BNP) - 2% (6.2%)
Plaid Cymru - 1% (0.8%)
Other - 1%
A new ComRes poll for the Sunday People shows Labour rebounding strongly, more than doubling its vote share to 35% compared with the Party's 2009 performance when they received just 15.7% of the vote.
UKIP have for the first time overtaken the Conservatives with 23%, an increase in their vote share since 2009 of more than 6% points which parallels that Party's Westminster election poll performance.
The poll also reveals that while a large proportion of the public are keen on an in/out referendum (63%), support for outright withdrawal is down to 33% since the last ComRes poll on the issue in October 2011. While support for renegotiating Britain's relationship with the EU is higher than opposition, it remains surprisingly low at 42%.
Andrew Hawkins, ComRes chairman, said of the poll: "The Tories are in an extremely dangerous position: Labour require a swing of just 2% at the next General Election to have the most MPs and 5% to win an overall majority. In this poll Labour's swing is a massive 12.5%. While European and Westminster electoral dynamics are different, the prospect of humiliation in 2014 would fuel disquiet among Mr Cameron's right flank who have still not forgiven him for not winning in 2010 and want to see traditional Tory values asserted more aggressively. The challenge for Nigel Farage is to appeal now to Labour voters and to maintain his Party's support in the event of the promise of a referendum."