Phi Wire Hand Picked Politics - Live

  • Jon Cruddas | Government is broken – Labour need to use the digital revolution

    • source icon
    • 10:57
  • Simon Jenkins | Andrew Mitchell was hoisted by the establishment’s own paranoid petard

    • source icon
    • 10:53
  • Isabel Hardman | David Cameron’s immigration speech in five points

    • source icon
    • 10:39
  • LabourList | It’s “unbelieveable” Cameron has recommended Lansley for top UN job, say Labour

    • source icon
    • 10:02
  • Osborne ‘must repeal carbon tax’ says @Confedofpaper Director General

    • source icon
    • 09:39
  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

Dot Commons

Could Eastleigh be beastly for Mili?

Could Eastleigh be beastly for Mili?

The Eastleigh by-election should have the psephologists purring for what it might tell us about the 2015 race.

The race has been billed in some quarters as a Coalition scrap, but a glance at recent history suggests Labour should have a say too. But up to 2010, where they suffered a -11% swing, Labour had always polled 20% or above in the south coast seat. A repeated of that performance, allied to a drop-off in the Lib Dem vote and the possible loss of Tory votes to UKIP could see Labour sneak an unlikely victory. 

Certainly if Labour don’t do well, the Tories will make hay out of Ed’s failure to reach the whole of his ‘One Nation’. It’s all very well winning in strongholds like Rotherham, Barnsley and Oldham, they'll say, but what does it say about Ed’s reach-out effort if middle England seats like Eastleigh are beyond him?  

Deputy leader Harriet Harman seems well aware of the significance of this race, to judge from a couple of recent tweets.