Phi Wire Hand Picked Politics - Live

  • On foreign students: if number is growing, even if you remove all as courses fin...

    • source icon
    • 13:21
  • Tory plans to kick out international students after graduation are frankly grote...

    • source icon
    • 13:17
  • Cardiff Garcia | On Cuba, no side has got it right

    • source icon
    • 13:02
  • Anthony Wells | Latest YouGov and Opinium polls

    • source icon
    • 10:48
  • James Forsyth | The Blue on Blue action has to stop if the Tories are to win next May

    • source icon
    • 10:05
  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

News, gossip and insight from PoliticsHome Editor Paul Waugh

Lib Dem odds narrow

Is the Lib Dem get-out-the-vote operation set to suffer from a perception that the party will win in Eastleigh?

As even the party's own leaflets describe their man as the 'front runner', William Hill have now cut their odds* as favourites.

A rash of bets has forced the bookes to cut their odds from an opening 6/4 to their current odds of 4/9 clear favourites. The Lib Dems have attracted 28% of all bets so far laid.

The Conservatives were the original favourites, at 1/ 2, but their odds have drifted out to 2/1 second favourites with Hills who say 21% of all bets struck have been for them.

Hills make Labour 16/1, having opened at 100/1, and they have been the subject of 27% of all bets struck, with UKIP attracting 20% of bets and currently offered at 25/1, having opened at 100/1.

 

 

*FOOTNOTE:

Then again, at least these are all smaller bets. I recall one individual laid a huge bet on Chris Huhne to win the Lib Dem leadership against Clegg. As a result, Huhne's odds were cut - and his campaign got some momentum. Which in turn cut his odds. Etc Etc. Word was that the individual who kicked off the whole cycle was...a rich admirer of Huhne's.

Be briefed for £1.50 a week...

PoliticsHome PRO Find out more