Feedback

The Live Wire

  • Matthew Dent | Redwood to region with highest unemployment: “Stop being gloomy”

    • source icon
    • 14:20
  • Ed West | There's something very un-English about the secular zealots fighting council pra...

    • source icon
    • 14:12
  • Laura Kuenssberg | Remember crucially about Merlin, it is total lending that's been offered, not ac...

    • source icon
    • 14:09
  • Giles Fraser | Banning council prayer sessions is just the start – what about parliament? | Gil...

    • source icon
    • 14:08
  • Laura Kuenssberg | Bank in the Merlin agreement issue joint statement saying they have ALL met the ...

    • source icon
    • 14:05
  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers

  • PoliticsHome | Only the latest five entries on the PhiWire are visible to non-subscribers



Top 5 Political Stories

  • 1
  • Tories dismiss NHS Bill
  • 2
  • Council prayers ruled illegal
  • 3
  • Prescott to stand for police commissioner
  • 4
  • Barclays reveals £5.9bn profit
  • 5
  • Tough conditions for Greek bailout

Other Top Stories

  • Obama condemns Homs attacks
  • Subscription Only
  • PM mulls tax breaks for cleaners
  • Subscription Only
  • MoD equipment budget 'over-optimistic'
  • Subscription Only
  • Hutton warns on working longer
  • Subscription Only
  • Families adviser on £8.6m
  • Subscription Only

New today

  • Low yield rate linked to Bank
  • Subscription Only

New this morning

  • Greens launch 'three-point plan'
  • Subscription Only
  • Tories press PM on Qatada
  • Subscription Only
  • Eton head: Scrap GCSEs
  • Subscription Only
  • Girl gang rape fund set up
  • Subscription Only
  • UN Falklands protest due
  • Subscription Only
  • NOTW sources confirm Myers picture claims
  • Subscription Only
  • PFI scrutiny calls
  • Subscription Only
  • HoL call on FIA to cancel Grand Prix
  • Subscription Only
  • £1.4bn on fishing policy
  • Subscription Only
RSS Electoral Index

PoliticsHome Electoral Index

The UK's largest ever political poll

CHANGING OPINIONS

Despite voting intentions narrowing, the public’s opinion of the government in marginal seats has barely softened. 68% of respondents thought that Gordon Brown was the wrong man to lead the country (barely changed from 69% last year), 63% agreed that Labour had failed and it was time for a change (slightly down from 66%). Their biggest improvement was that 32% of people in marginal seats now think Brown has experience for hard times, compared to 27% last year.

The drop in the Conservative lead seems to be more to do with increased reticence about the Conservatives, perhaps because of the credit crunch, which really started to bite after our 2008 survey was complete

While the majority of respondents still thought that David Cameron had changed the Conservative party, the proportion of people who thought they would slash public services had sharply increased. This is perhaps somewhat made up for by the fact that other polls show increasing public appetite for cuts, however, our survey also suggests that the Conservatives are seen as being more of a risk than last year, and more people see them as only being for the rich.

Asked about the Liberal Democrats, the idea the Lib Dems would have a moderating effect upon an incoming Tory government has gained some traction. However, 50% still think they seem like nice people, but their policies wouldn’t work.

SKIP TO:

Introduction  ---  Prediction Summary  ---  The new political landscape  ---  Tactical Voting and the Personal Vote  ---  The Deciding Factors  ---  The Key Issues  ---  Sleaze  ---  Campaigning  ---  Changing Opinions  ---  Methodology  ---  View 2008 report

REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS:

 

Inner London  ---  Outer London  ---  London's Commuter Belt  ---  Seaside Towns  ---  Labour's Southern Bastions  ---  Urban West Midlands  --- West Midlands hinterland --- East Midlands ---  West Yorkshire  ---  North West  ---  North East England  ---  Cumbria  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: South West  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: Elsewhere  ---  Labour vs Lib Dems  ---  Welsh Marginals  ---  Scottish Marginals