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Inner London contains some of the safest Conservative seats in the country, but also some solid Labour territory. In contrast to outer London, here the demographic trend is in the Conservative party’s direction as gentrification moves areas up the social scale.
Despite this, in London our survey found one of the lowest swings to the Conservatives of anywhere in the country. The new Hammersmith seat, the remainder of the old Hammersmith and Fulham seats which will be dismembered by boundary changes, looks likely to be Labour.
Uniquely amongst the groups of seats we surveyed, support for “other” parties fell, largely because of the collapse in support for others, suggesting that Labour will be able to retake Bethnal Green and Bow from Respect.
Overall regional results
Seat-by-seat predictions
6.1% swing to Conservatives
SKIP TO:
Introduction --- Prediction Summary --- The new political landscape --- Tactical Voting and the Personal Vote --- The Deciding Factors --- The Key Issues --- Sleaze --- Campaigning --- Changing Opinions --- Methodology --- View 2008 report
REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS:
Inner London --- Outer London --- London's Commuter Belt --- Seaside Towns --- Labour's Southern Bastions --- Urban West Midlands --- West Midlands hinterland --- East Midlands --- West Yorkshire --- North West --- North East England --- Cumbria --- Conservatives vs Lib Dems: South West --- Conservatives vs Lib Dems: Elsewhere --- Labour vs Lib Dems --- Welsh Marginals --- Scottish Marginals
