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RSS Electoral Index

PoliticsHome Electoral Index

The UK's largest ever political poll

REGIONAL BREAKDOWN

Seaside towns

Seaside towns form a distinct cluster amongst the key marginal seats at the next election – there are a surprising number of them in the list of Conservative targets. With a much higher proportion of elderly residents and often problems with unemployment due to the decline of the traditional seaside holiday they also have distinct demographics. They continue to show one of the lower swings towards the Conservatives, and by far the highest shift towards “other parties”. This is mainly benefiting the Green party who on these figures would win their first Parliamentary seat in Brighton Pavilion.


Seat-by-seat prediction


Swing to the Conservatives of 6.3%

SKIP TO:

Introduction  ---  Prediction Summary  ---  The new political landscape  ---  Tactical Voting and the Personal Vote  ---  The Deciding Factors  ---  The Key Issues  ---  Sleaze  ---  Campaigning  ---  Changing Opinions  ---  Methodology  ---  View 2008 report

REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS:

  Inner London  ---  Outer London  ---  London's Commuter Belt  ---  Seaside Towns  ---  Labour's Southern Bastions  ---  Urban West Midlands  --- West Midlands hinterland --- East Midlands ---  West Yorkshire  ---  North West  ---  North East England  ---  Cumbria  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: South West  ---  Conservatives vs Lib Dems: Elsewhere  ---  Labour vs Lib Dems  ---  Welsh Marginals  ---  Scottish Marginals