SNP set to rout Labour in Scotland

Posted On: 
4th March 2015

The SNP could win 56 of the 59 seats in Scotland at the next election, according to a new Ashcroft poll.

In a survey of eight Scottish marginals, six have swung in favour of the SNP including those occupied by Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling. Labour was 1% ahead in two of the marginals, with Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy’s East Renfrenshire seat among them.

Former Liberal Democrat leader, Charles Kennedy, will also lose his Skye and Lochaber constituency to the SNP at the election, according to the latest figures.

The Conservatives sole Scottish constituency, Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale, is under threat, as they are currently level pegging with the SNP.

Yesterday's YouGov poll for the Sun gave the Conservatives a 3% lead on Labour at 35%, while Lord Ashcroft's weekly national poll put the Tories on 34% and Labour on 31%.

From the latest projection of marginal constituencies, Labour and the Conservatives would be all square on 272 seats each after the general election.

Outside of Scotland, Norwich North, won by Chloe Smith in 2009, is currently set to return to Labour.  

Lord Ashcroft said: "As things stand, Labour losses in Scotland could offset their gains from the Tories, leading to something close to a dead heat."​

Outlining his findings this evening, Lord Ashcroft stated that "David Cameron needs to weaponise himself" to win the general election.

In a poll of 8,000 people, the peer said that many voters see David Cameron as cartoon character Dick Dastardly while they see Ed Miliband as the moon, because "he's on another planet".

The new polling also shows that 58% say there should be no more austerity and just 42% say that more is needed.

Meanwhile, Ukip leads on immigration policy at 31%. The Conservatives and Labour are both on 22%.