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Conservatives on course for a 48-seat Commons majority, according to new poll

2 min read

The Conservatives are on track to win the general election with 349 MPs, according to the first seat projections of the campaign.

In a boost for Boris Johnson, analysis found the Tories would pick up an extra 57 seats, giving them a majority of 48 in the House of Commons.

Labour however, is predicted to win 213 seats, while the Lib Dems are expected to decline from 20 to 14.

According to Datapraxis, which analysed 270,000 voter interviews with YouGov for the Sunday Times, the SNP will enjoy a 14-seat hike to 49 MPs in the election.

The projection comes after the Lib Dems and Labour manifesto launches, and the first televised debates of the campaign. 

Mr Johnson is also set to unveil his party’s manifesto on Sunday, vowing to freeze national insurance, income tax and VAT and axe hospital car parking charges for patients, relatives and staff.

The Conservatives have also climbed to a 19-point lead over Labour according to latest Opinium polling for the Observer. 

The figures show the Tories gained three points since last week, and take a 47% vote share, compared to 28% for Labour.

Support for the Brexit party has collapsed to just 3%, while backing for the Liberal Democrats also declined to 12%. 

According to the pollsters three quarters of Leave voters said they would back the Conservatives.

A total 2,003 people were surveyed over Wednesday to Friday this week.



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